As an example, in the men’s 45-49, you’ll probably need to go sub- 2:05 to win and sub- 2:14 in the women’s event and you’ll need to be within 5 or 6 minutes of that time to qualify. Men will need to be a 21-23 minute swimmer for 1500m (i.e. as fast as a reasonably quick 10 year old), 1 hr – 1:04 on the bike and a 35-39 minute 10k runner. Women can add two minutes in the swim, five or so on the bike and four on the run to those times. If you’re currently a 2:30 man or a 2:40 woman, you need to improve by 20% .... and, that's a pretty big task.
In the next post, I'll talk about realistic, season-to-season improvement percentages.
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